Base Camp Thinking: What Mountaineers Know About Volatile Conditions

There’s a sentence Ed Viesturs likes to repeat, and we’ve been thinking about it a lot lately.

“Getting to the top is optional. Getting down is mandatory.”

Viesturs is one of the most accomplished high-altitude mountaineers in history – one of a handful of climbers to summit all fourteen of the world’s 8,000-meter peaks without supplemental oxygen. He’s said he didn’t make it home that many times by being brave at the wrong moments. He made it home by being disciplined at the right ones.

Markets aren’t mountains. But the principles people use to come home alive from volatile conditions translate surprisingly well to financial life planning. And in a stretch like this one – energy shocks, persistent inflation, consumer confidence at all-time lows – we keep returning to a few of those principles.

Base camp

No one summits straight from the road. The first thing you do is build a base camp – a stable, well-supplied position you can return to when conditions deteriorate. You sleep there. You eat there. You wait out storms there.

In a financial life, base camp is the cash reserve. It isn’t where you live – it’s what you fall back on when the weather turns. And the function it serves isn’t really about the dollar amount. It’s about giving you the freedom not to make decisions out of panic.

Households with an honest base camp don’t necessarily make different long-term decisions than households without one. But the experience of difficult conditions is fundamentally different. One is decision-making from a position of strength. The other is decision-making from a position of fear.

Acclimatize before you climb

Altitude doesn’t care how strong you are at sea level. The body has to be allowed to adapt to thinner air, in stages.

Building a financial life has a similar rhythm. Big decisions – a new house, a business move, an early retirement, a significant inheritance – work best when there’s time to acclimatize. To live with the implications. To stress-test how they feel. To see what assumptions hold and which don’t.

Most of the financial regrets we hear about aren’t bad ideas. They’re good ideas executed too quickly.

Pre-set turnaround thresholds

Climbers set turnaround times before they start the summit push. If you haven’t reached the summit by, say, 2 p.m., you turn around. Period. The decision is made in advance – in calm conditions, with clear thinking – precisely because at altitude, in bad weather, under pressure, the mind isn’t reliable.

A financial plan with pre-set thresholds works the same way. Rebalancing triggers. Cash buffer minimums. Withdrawal rate guardrails. Spending floors during retirement transitions. These aren’t constraints – they’re decisions made when your head was clear, so you don’t have to make them when your head isn’t.

The team you bring

No one solos K2 by accident. Every expedition has a team – sherpas, climbers with complementary skills, an extended network at lower altitudes. The team is part of the equipment.

In a financial life, the team is the people you’ve intentionally chosen to walk alongside you – the spouse you talk through decisions with, the CPA, the estate attorney, the advisor, the family members you trust. The point isn’t to outsource judgment. It’s to have other clear minds in the room when yours is tired.

One more thing

The mountains have a way of revealing what was already true. Volatile financial conditions do the same.

If your plan is built well, hard stretches are uncomfortable but not catastrophic. If it isn’t, hard stretches reveal what was missing – and they tend to do it at the worst possible moment.

We’d rather have those conversations now, in calm air, than at the top of the ridge.

When the Tank Costs More: Energy, Inflation and the Family Budget

Walk into almost any conversation with friends right now and the cost of things is bound to come up. The grocery bill. The fuel cost. The summer travel that suddenly feels more expensive than it did last year.

We want to make sense of what’s actually happening – without spin and without panic – and offer a calm way to think about the household budget through this stretch.

Where the pressure is coming from

A few things are converging.

Gas prices are up sharply. The U.S. national average for a gallon of regular sits around $4.48 in late May, an increase of nearly 50% since February. The driver is largely geopolitical – disruption to oil supply routes through the Strait of Hormuz, which historically handles roughly a fifth of the world’s seaborne oil.

Headline inflation is moderate but persistent. The Consumer Price Index for April came in at 3.8% year-over-year, up from 3.3% the month before. That doesn’t feel huge until you remember it’s stacked on top of several years of similar increases.

The cumulative effect is real. A common framing – a basket of goods that cost $100 before the pandemic now runs about $126. That’s where the “everything is more expensive” feeling comes from. It’s not your imagination.

Why oil ripples beyond the pump

Higher oil prices don’t only show up when you fill the tank – they show up indirectly in almost everything you buy. Nearly every product spends time on a truck. Shipping costs feed into grocery prices, into building materials, into the cost of a hotel room two states over. The pump price is the most visible piece of a broader effect.

That’s why the budget pressure right now isn’t only about gas. It’s about gas plus the things that gas touches.

The line we’d encourage you to draw

There’s a simple distinction worth making, and we find that families do better when they make it explicitly.

Essential – the things that have to be paid no matter what. Housing, utilities, basic food, insurance, transportation to work, medical.

Discretionary – everything else. Some of it is meaningful to you. Some of it has crept in through habit.

Both categories deserve respect. We’re not in the camp that says cut every latte. Discretionary spending is often where life happens. But knowing which line items are which gives you choices, and choices are what reduce anxiety in a stretch like this one.

Sticky vs. temporary

A second cut worth making – which price increases are temporary, and which are likely to stay with us for a while?

Gasoline is sticky in the sense that it stays elevated until the underlying supply story changes. We don’t know how long that takes.

Some household items are temporary – they spike for a season and ease back.

Some are structural. Housing, healthcare, insurance – these tend to grind higher over time regardless of headlines. They’re the line items that quietly do the most damage to a long-term budget, because they don’t make the news.

For most families, the leverage is in the structural line items. A modest, deliberate review of housing-related expenses, insurance, and recurring services often produces more breathing room than cutting variable costs.

A few starting places

Not advice for your specific situation – just a frame.

Re-price what you can. Insurance, internet, streaming, subscriptions – these are line items most households don’t revisit annually, and there’s often room.

Refresh the emergency cash number. The familiar “three to six months of essential expenses” rule still holds, but the dollar figure has moved. Your reserve from 2022 may now cover less ground than you think.

Be honest about discretionary creep – not to shame it, to see it. Choices are easier when you know what you’re choosing.

If you’d like to walk through any of this in the context of your own situation, that’s what we do. The numbers feel less heavy when there’s a structure around them.

“Will We Be Okay?” The Question Beneath the Question

Of all the questions we’ve heard in this work over the years, the one that’s been coming up most often lately isn’t really a question – it’s a feeling. The words around it shift depending on who’s asking and what kind of week they’ve had.

“Will we be okay?”

Sometimes it sounds like a market question. Is the portfolio set up for this? Sometimes it sounds like a household question. If we have to absorb a few more shocks, how do we look? Most of the time, when we listen carefully, it’s neither. It’s a question about whether the plan can hold.

We want to talk about that question – because it deserves a real answer, not a market forecast.

What clients are really asking

When we sit with someone who’s worried, the surface question is almost never the deepest one. The surface might be should we cut back on travel this summer? The deeper question is does our life still have room in it for the things that matter to us, if conditions keep getting harder?

That’s not a market question. That’s a planning question. And it has a real answer.

Resilience isn’t a guess

A financial plan, built well, doesn’t depend on the next twelve months going a particular way. It’s designed to absorb the months we can’t predict. That’s the whole point.

The pieces that actually answer the “will we be okay” question aren’t headlines – they’re structural. A cash reserve sized to your real fixed expenses, not the version of your budget on a calm day. A clear picture of which expenses are truly fixed and which feel fixed because they’re habits. An understanding of which goals are non-negotiable and which are timing-flexible. A goal that can wait six or twelve months without doing damage is fundamentally different from one that can’t. And a relationship between your portfolio and your actual time horizons – money you need soon shouldn’t be at the mercy of money you don’t need for fifteen years.

When those pieces are in place, the answer to “will we be okay” is mostly already written. It’s not a prediction. It’s a structure.

What we’d say if you asked us today

We’d say what we always say – it depends on the plan you’ve already built, and we can walk through it together. We’d look at your fixed-expense floor. We’d look at where your goals have room to flex. We’d look at the cash reserve relative to today’s prices, not last year’s. And we’d revisit time horizons.

That conversation is rarely as scary as the one in your head.

A small word on the headlines

Consumer sentiment hit an all-time low in May – lower than during the 1970s oil crisis, lower than 2008, lower than the early days of the pandemic. That’s a fact worth knowing, mostly because it means two things at once. If you’re feeling unsettled, you’re not imagining things, and you’re not alone. And feelings are not forecasts. The economy will do what it does. Your plan can be ready for a wider range of outcomes than you might think.

If “will we be okay” has been a question on your mind, we’d love to sit with it. That’s what we’re here for.

AI Will Not Replace a Great Advisor. It Will Almost Certainly Replace a Good One

And why some clients will need a human in the room more than ever. 

I want to say something that I think a lot of people in my industry are afraid to say out loud.

Artificial intelligence is going to replace a great many financial advisors over the next decade. Probably most of them. The advisors who run a tidy practice doing solid, competent work – gathering documents, building plans in commercial software, rebalancing portfolios on a quarterly schedule, screening for tax-loss harvesting opportunities, drafting client letters that sound like every other client letter – those advisors are in real trouble. Not because they are bad at their jobs. Most of them are quite good. They are in trouble because the things that make them good are the things AI can now do faster, cheaper, and at three in the morning.

I am not predicting this from a distance. I use AI every day in my own practice. Anyone in my industry who tells you the technology is overrated has not actually used it. It is not overrated. It is one of the most consequential tools to come into financial services in my career, and it is improving on a timescale that should make every advisor pay close attention.

So let me be clear about what I am claiming and what I am not. I am not claiming that the human advisor disappears. I am claiming that the bar for being worth what you cost is rising quickly and that the people who used to settle for a good advisor will, before long, get a better version of that good advisor for free, or close to it, from a chatbot. The gap that survives is between the great advisor and the AI. And great is harder to define than most of my colleagues like to admit.

What AI is genuinely good at – and what “good” advisors mostly do

If you sit down and list the actual tasks a competent advisor performs in a typical week, a sobering thing happens. Most of them are tasks AI either already does well or is about to. Pulling in a client’s documents and summarizing what is in them. Comparing two retirement scenarios. Calculating a Roth conversion. Drafting a quarterly letter. Researching a tax law change. Evaluating an annuity contract. Building a cash flow projection. Spotting a missed beneficiary designation.

None of this is glamorous work, but it is most of the work. And it is the work that, until very recently, justified a full time person doing it. That justification is eroding. Software that costs a client $30 a month can now do a credible first pass on most of these tasks, and within a few years it will do a near-final pass. The advisor who built a career on being the diligent middle layer between the client and the financial machinery is being replaced from underneath by a tool that does the diligent middle layer for free.

That is the bad news. Now the good news, which is also the more interesting news.

The clients AI cannot serve well

There is a category of client for whom AI will never fully be enough, and the reason has nothing to do with technology. It has to do with the structure of the problems they are trying to solve. In my experience, three characteristics tend to define this group. Many of the people I work with fit these characteristics. The clients who need a great advisor likely have all three.

First, complicated financial situations. I am not talking about a household with a 401(k), a Roth IRA, and a mortgage. AI handles that beautifully. I am talking about the business owner whose personal balance sheet is wound around an operating company, a holding LLC, a real estate entity, and a buy-sell agreement that has not been updated since the partner left. I am talking about the family that has wealth flowing across two generations, with trusts that were drafted in different decades by different attorneys with different assumptions. I am talking about the executive whose compensation includes restricted stock, performance shares, deferred comp, and a non-qualified plan that interacts with their cash flow in ways that change every year. AI can produce a remarkably good overview of any one of these pieces. Where it struggles is in the connective tissue, the place where the entity structure, the estate plan, the tax exposure, the family dynamics (always the gasoline on the fire!), and the operating reality of a closely held business all touch each other. That is where decisions actually live, and that is where the analysis is messy enough, and the data is incomplete enough, that you need a human who has seen this kind of mess before.

Second, a high regularity of consequential decisions. Some clients live a financial life with very few decision points. They save into their plan, they hold a diversified portfolio, they rebalance on a schedule, they retire on a date, and most of the work is just steady execution. They benefit enormously from a sound plan and a low-cost portfolio, and frankly, AI can carry a lot of that load. But other clients face a steady drumbeat of real decisions. Should I take the buyout offer or hold out for a better one? Do I exercise the options now or wait? Should we sell the second home or keep it? Do we lend to our son’s startup or write a check we cannot ask back for? Do I move the trust to a different state? Do I take the partnership stake? Do I retire in eighteen months or push it three more years? When decisions of this kind arrive every few weeks rather than every few years, you do not need a tool. You need a thinking partner, someone who knows your situation cold, who you trust, who you can call on a Tuesday afternoon and say, here is what I am turning over in my head, what am I missing? That kind of relationship is not something a chat window provides, no matter how clever the chat window gets.

Third, high consequences and costs attached to those decisions. A wrong move on a $40,000 401(k) contribution is forgivable. A wrong move on a $40 million liquidity event is not. A misread on the timing of a Roth conversion can cost a few thousand dollars; a misread on the structure of a business sale can cost seven figures and a strained relationship with a sibling. When the dollar amounts get large enough, or when the decisions become irreversible enough, the value of being right goes up, and the value of being wrong goes up faster. Clients in this position are not paying for information. They are paying for judgment under pressure, and they are paying for someone to share the weight of the decision with them. That is fundamentally a human service. It always has been. AI does not change it. If anything, AI raises the stakes, because the people on the other side of these transactions…the buyer, the IRS, the opposing trustee, the estate attorney…are using AI too, and the playing field at the high end is getting more sophisticated, not less.

What “great” actually means now

I have been thinking a lot about what separates the advisors who will thrive in the next ten years from the ones who will not, and a lot about the clients who will need them. It is not credentials. It is not technical knowledge.  AI is a great equalizer on technical knowledge, and the playing field there is collapsing fast. There is no longer a scarcity premium added to knowledge.  The advisors who will thrive are the ones who do the work AI cannot do, and that work has a specific shape.

It is the work of being a thinking partner before a decision, not just a report generator after one. It is the work of pushing back when a client wants to do something you believe will hurt them, and doing it in a way they can hear. It is the work of holding a conversation across years, remembering what the client said three Christmases ago about their daughter, and connecting it to what is being decided this Tuesday. It is the work of judgment in places where the data is incomplete, the stakes are real, and the answer is not in any model. It is, in a word, presence.  The kind of presence that does not scale, cannot be automated, and is exactly the thing that the right kind of client will pay for as long as I am alive to provide it.

If you are a client of mine reading this, I want you to know I take this seriously. I am using every AI tool I can get my hands on, not to replace what I do for you, but to free up more of my time and attention for the part of the job that actually matters when your number is called. The diligent middle work…the research, the modeling, the document review, the first drafts…should be done faster and cheaper every year. That is good for you. The real work, the conversation that happens when something hard is on the table and you need someone in the room with you, is exactly where I want to be spending more of my time, not less.

And if you are reading this and wondering whether you have the kind of financial life that justifies a great advisor – whether the complexity, the decision velocity, and the stakes really warrant the relationship – that is a fair question to ask. For some people, the honest answer is no. A good chatbot, a target-date fund, and a disciplined savings habit will get them where they are going. For others, the answer is firmly yes, and the cost of being wrong about it is too high to leave to a tool that, however brilliant, has no skin in your game.

Knowing the difference is itself a financial decision. And it might be the most important one you make this year.

 

Four Common Money Questions, Answered in Plain English

At Ridgeline Wealth Advisors, we believe financial literacy should feel practical, not intimidating. Here are four common questions we hear, with straightforward answers to help you think clearly about cash, investing, and market headlines.

Is investing in gold or other metals worth it?

Maybe for some people as a small, specialized part of a broader plan—but not as a guaranteed shield against inflation or market stress.  Gold has had significant price swings and has not reliably tracked inflation over long periods. If someone is focused specifically on inflation protection, Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities, or TIPS, have historically been a more direct inflation-linked tool, though no approach is perfect.

Possible benefits of precious metals can include:

  • Diversification in some environments
  • A tangible asset some people find psychologically reassuring
  • Potential value during certain inflationary or crisis periods

But there are also tradeoffs:

  • Prices can be volatile
  • Gold is not an investment…there are no future expected cash flows so no way to discount cash flow to determine a fair present value share price.  It is pure speculation.
  • Metals generally do not pay interest or dividends
  • Physical ownership can involve storage, insurance, and transaction costs
  • Tax treatment can differ from stocks and mutual funds

At a high level, physical gold and many precious metals are generally taxed when sold. Some structures may be treated as collectibles, which can mean different tax treatment than stocks. Some gold ETFs may also be taxed differently depending on how they hold the metal. In some states, sales tax may apply when buying physical metals.

In short, precious metals may have a role for some investors, but they are not a one-size-fits-all solution.

What does it really mean when the stock market drops, and when should we worry?

A market drop usually means investors are willing to pay less for many publicly traded companies than they were willing to pay before. That can feel unsettling, but downturns are a normal part of investing and the ‘price of admission’ to get higher expected returns in the long-term. Short-term volatility by itself is usually not a reason to abandon a long-term plan. The better question is often not, “What is the headline today?” but, “Have my own needs changed?”

The S&P 500 is a widely followed index of 500 large U.S. companies, so it is often used as a quick snapshot of how large U.S. stocks are doing. But indexes are not available for direct investment and do not reflect actual portfolio expenses.

Market declines can be uncomfortable, but they are also part of how long-term investing works. For many people, the more important issue is whether their own liquidity needs, time horizon, or risk tolerance have changed—not whether markets are simply having a difficult week.

Is it ever okay to keep cash in a shoebox or under your mattress?

A small amount of physical cash for convenience is a personal choice. But for reserve cash, source materials support prioritizing liquid, interest-earning, FDIC-eligible options over storing large amounts at home.  An emergency fund, or protective reserve, exists to help cover unexpected expenses and near-term spending needs without forcing you to sell long-term investments at the wrong time. The exact amount depends on your situation, but the core idea is simple: keep enough cash accessible for real-life surprises.

There is also a tax angle. Money in a savings account may earn taxable interest. Cash at home does not generate taxable interest because it earns nothing. But that comes with tradeoffs: cash at home is easier to lose, steal, or destroy, and it can be harder to document.

How does a CD work?

A certificate of deposit, or CD, is a bank savings product. You agree to leave money at the bank for a set term—such as 3 months, 1 year, or 5 years—and in exchange the bank pays a fixed interest rate. If you take the money out early, the bank will usually charge an early withdrawal penalty. When the CD reaches maturity, you can typically:

  • Withdraw the money
  • Move it into a new CD
  • Let it renew automatically, depending on the bank’s terms

At a high level, CD interest is generally taxable as ordinary income in the year it is credited or made available, even if you do not withdraw it. Banks typically report that interest on Form 1099-INT. Early withdrawal penalties may be deductible on a federal return, and state tax treatment can vary.

Closing Thought

Good financial decisions often start with matching the tool to the goal: cash for short-term needs, savings vehicles for reserves, and long-term investments for long-term objectives.  Most financial options are not bad tools to have in the toolbox as long as you know when it’s appropriate to use which tool.  Don’t let me find you trying to fix your mirror with a hammer…it won’t go well.  Neither will using the incorrect financial tool.

Q2 Letter to Clients

Where Things Stand

The first quarter of 2026 tested the patience of even the most disciplined investors. A combination of rising energy prices, geopolitical uncertainty, and a pullback in the large technology companies that led markets higher in recent years produced the worst quarterly performance for U.S. stocks since 2022. The S&P 500 declined approximately 4.6% for the quarter, the Nasdaq Composite fell roughly 7.1%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped in similar fashion. Meanwhile, the Russell 2000 index of smaller domestic companies held up notably better, finishing the quarter roughly flat. At the sector level, energy was the clear standout, posting its best quarterly gain on record as oil prices surged. These numbers are a useful reminder that diversification across asset classes, market capitalizations, and sectors continues to serve long-term investors well, even when individual parts of the market come under pressure.  It is very difficult to capture the value in diversification if you are holding individual stocks.

Much of this quarter’s volatility was driven by the conflict in the Middle East. The war in Iran and disruption around the Strait of Hormuz sent oil prices sharply higher, contributing to renewed inflation concerns and creating uncertainty across global markets. Brent crude posted its largest monthly percentage increase on record during March, and the ripple effects were felt well beyond the energy sector. As the quarter drew to a close, reports emerged suggesting that both U.S. and Iranian leadership may be open to ending hostilities, and markets rallied meaningfully on the final trading day of March. Whether that optimism translates into a lasting resolution remains to be seen. No one knows with confidence how current geopolitical conflicts or trade disruptions will ultimately play out, and reacting emotionally to that uncertainty is rarely helpful for long-term investors. For a useful overview of how Q1 unfolded across the major indexes, Reuters published a helpful summary via U.S. News & World Report.

Why Staying the Course Matters

Markets are forward-looking. By the time a recession, policy shift, or geopolitical event becomes front-page news, much of that information is often already reflected in prices. This is one reason why making portfolio changes in response to headlines can be counterproductive. A diversified portfolio is designed with uncertainty in mind. Consider that the S&P 500 has now posted a negative first quarter in back-to-back years, yet history shows that a down first quarter has been followed by a positive full year far more often than not. Markets have historically moved through wars, recessions, political change, and crises while continuing to reward disciplined long-term investors over time. There is no proven way to consistently time the market, and missing even brief periods of strong performance can meaningfully affect long-term outcomes. For investors interested in the historical context around negative first quarters and what tends to follow, Motley Fool published a thoughtful analysis at fool.com.

For that reason, we will not adjust portfolios in response to market whims or short-term movements. Short-term declines do not necessarily lead to down years, and many years with significant intrayear drops have still finished with positive calendar-year returns. In fact, one of the most notable themes of Q1 was the divergence in performance across different parts of the market. While large-cap technology names bore the brunt of the selling, small-cap domestic companies in the Russell 2000 were largely insulated from the geopolitical disruption, and the energy sector delivered exceptional returns. This kind of rotation is exactly what a well-diversified portfolio is built to capture. Staying invested and focused on the long term helps ensure you are in position to benefit when markets recover and leadership shifts.

Planning Opportunities

Market turmoil can still serve a useful purpose if it prompts a review of the things that actually matter. Short-term market moves are not, by themselves, a reason to change a well-constructed long-term allocation. But when your life changes, it may be appropriate to revisit your financial plan. Retirement timing, spending needs, charitable goals, liquidity needs, estate intentions, and tolerance for risk can all justify thoughtful updates. If your plan still aligns with your values, goals, and time horizon, staying the course is often the most appropriate response.

Periods like this can also create planning opportunities worth evaluating in the context of your broader strategy. Depending on your circumstances, volatility may create room for disciplined rebalancing, tax-loss harvesting, cash-flow review, or future Roth conversion planning.

What Your Plan Is Really For

Most importantly, we would encourage you to focus on living your great life right now. Your financial plan is not meant to compete with your life; it is meant to support it. Even in periods of turmoil, your plan should prepare for important transitions, care for the people you love, and continue making progress toward the life you want to live. That may mean spending meaningful time with family, protecting time for travel or rest, supporting a cause that matters to you, or simply being more present in your day-to-day life. The headlines matter, but they are not the whole story. A well-built plan allows you to keep perspective and remember what your money is for in the first place.

As always, we are here to help you think through decisions in the context of your long-term plan rather than the emotion of the moment. If anything in your life has changed, or if you would like to revisit your plan together, please reach out.

The 3 Biggest Tax Questions We’re Hearing Right Now

Every year brings its share of tax changes, but 2026 is different. The One Big Beautiful Bill Act, signed into law on July 4, 2025, made sweeping updates to the federal tax code — some permanent, some temporary, and nearly all of them generating questions from the families and individuals we work with. Rather than try to cover everything at once, we wanted to focus on the three topics that have come up most often in recent conversations and break them down in plain language.

“How Does the New SALT Deduction Cap Affect Me?”

If you live in a state with meaningful income or property taxes, you’ve probably felt the sting of the $10,000 cap on the state and local tax (SALT) deduction that’s been in place since 2018. Good news: the new law raises that cap to $40,000, effective for the 2025 tax year. For 2026, it ticks up to $40,400 and will continue increasing by one percent annually through 2029.

For a household earning $400,000 and paying $30,000 in combined state income and property taxes, this is a significant change. Under the old rules, only $10,000 of that was deductible. Now, the full $30,000 qualifies. That’s a real reduction in taxable income.

However, the expanded cap comes with an income-based phaseout. If your modified adjusted gross income exceeds $500,000 (or $250,000 for married filing separately), the cap is reduced by 30 cents for every dollar above that threshold. By the time income reaches roughly $600,000, the deduction phases back down to $10,000. So a couple earning $550,000 would see their maximum SALT deduction reduced to about $25,000 — still much better than $10,000, but not the full benefit.

A few things worth noting. First, if you’ve been taking the standard deduction because the old SALT cap made itemizing less worthwhile, it’s time to run the numbers again. Second, business owners using pass-through entity tax elections can still deduct state taxes at the entity level — the new law didn’t restrict that workaround. And third, this expansion is temporary. The cap reverts to $10,000 in 2030, which means there’s a planning window worth being intentional about.

“With the Estate Tax Exemption at $15 Million, Do I Still Need an Estate Plan?”

For years, families were on edge about the federal estate tax exemption. Under the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, the exemption had been roughly doubled to about $14 million per person, but it was set to drop back to around $7 million at the end of 2025. The new law resolved that uncertainty by permanently raising the exemption to $15 million per individual — $30 million for married couples — effective January 1, 2026. Beginning in 2027, it will be indexed for inflation, and unlike the prior law, there’s no sunset provision.

So does that mean estate planning is no longer necessary? Not at all. The federal exemption is only one piece of the puzzle. Eighteen states plus the District of Columbia impose their own estate or inheritance taxes, often with much lower thresholds — in some cases as low as $1 million. A couple with $20 million in assets might owe nothing federally but could face a significant state tax bill depending on where they live.

Beyond taxes, a good estate plan addresses guardianship for minor children, powers of attorney, the orderly transfer of business interests, and probate avoidance. These things matter regardless of exemption levels.

The higher exemption also creates interesting planning opportunities. If your estate is comfortably below $15 million, the focus may shift from estate tax reduction toward income tax efficiency. Holding appreciated assets until death to take advantage of the step-up in basis, for example, could eliminate capital gains taxes on decades of growth. On the other hand, families with larger estates should continue using trusts and other transfer strategies, because the 40 percent federal estate tax rate on amounts above the exemption hasn’t changed.

“What Are All These New Deductions I Keep Hearing About?”

The new law introduced several targeted deductions that are genuinely new to the tax code. Here are the ones generating the most conversation.

Tips. Workers who receive tips can now deduct up to $25,000 in tip income from their taxable earnings. This applies to anyone in a tipped occupation — servers, hairstylists, rideshare drivers, and more — and it’s available whether you itemize or take the standard deduction. The deduction phases out at higher income levels and is temporary, running through the 2028 tax year.

Overtime. Overtime wages now qualify for a similar above-the-line deduction. If you earn time-and-a-half or double-time under the Fair Labor Standards Act, a portion of that income may be deductible. This is aimed at hourly and non-exempt workers, and it requires that your employer accurately report overtime pay on your W-2.

Auto loan interest. Perhaps the most surprising new break: interest paid on auto loans is now deductible up to $10,000 per year. This applies to personal vehicles, not just business ones. The deduction phases out starting at $100,000 of adjusted gross income for single filers ($200,000 for joint filers) and is fully eliminated at $150,000 ($250,000 for joint filers). Your lender is required to provide a statement of interest paid by January 31.

Senior deduction. Taxpayers 65 and older can claim a new deduction of up to $6,000 per qualifying individual, or $12,000 for married couples filing jointly where both spouses qualify. This sits on top of the existing standard deduction and the additional standard deduction for seniors. It phases out at six percent of modified adjusted gross income above $75,000 for single filers ($150,000 for joint filers) and is available for tax years 2025 through 2028.

Higher standard deduction. Finally, the standard deduction itself increased to $32,200 for married couples filing jointly, $16,100 for single filers, and $24,150 for heads of household for the 2026 tax year. These higher amounts are now permanent.

Putting It All Together

The common thread across all three of these topics is that the tax landscape has shifted in ways that create real opportunities — but also real complexity. Some provisions are permanent, others expire in a few years, and many come with income-based phaseouts that can change the math quickly depending on your situation.

Our advice? Don’t assume last year’s strategy still works. Whether it’s revisiting whether to itemize, rethinking your estate plan, or making sure you’re capturing every new deduction available to you, a fresh look at your tax picture is well worth the effort. As always, we’re here to help you think through it.

This article is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute tax, legal, or investment advice. Tax laws are complex and individual circumstances vary. Please consult with a qualified tax professional or your financial advisor before making any decisions based on the information presented here.

New Tax Season, New Tax Code: What Changed In 2026 – And Why It Matters

As we approach another tax filing season, it’s a good time to take stock of the most meaningful changes that affect U.S. taxpayers for the 2026 tax year (returns you’ll file in 2027). This year’s filing period reflects not just inflation adjustments but also significant provisions of the One, Big, Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA), the major tax law signed in 2025 that locked in and updated several key tax provisions. (IRS)

Understanding these changes can help you plan earlier in the year — not just react at tax time.

Key 2026 Tax Changes at a Glance

Below are three major areas where taxpayers will see meaningful adjustments for the 2026 tax year:

1) Updated Federal Income Tax Brackets

The IRS annually adjusts tax brackets for inflation. For 2026, the seven familiar federal income tax brackets remain (10%, 12%, 22%, 24%, 32%, 35%, 37%), but the income thresholds have shifted upward, helping many taxpayers avoid “bracket creep.”

2026 Federal Income Tax Brackets (Taxable Income) (OneDigital)

Tax Rate

Single Filers

Married Filing Jointly

10%

Up to $12,400

Up to $24,800

12%

$12,401–$50,400

$24,801–$100,800

22%

$50,401–$105,700

$100,801–$211,400

24%

$105,701–$201,775

$211,401–$403,550

32%

$201,776–$256,225

$403,551–$512,450

35%

$256,226–$640,600

$512,451–$768,700

37%

Over $640,600

Over $768,700

These adjustments don’t lower rates, but they mean you can earn more before moving into a higher bracket. That matters for retirement planning, RMD timing, Social Security taxation, and portfolio withdrawals.

2) Standard Deduction and Senior Deduction Updates

Along with bracket changes, the standard deduction rises for most taxpayers. For 2026:

  • $16,100 for single filers
  • $32,200 for married couples filing jointly
  • $24,150 for heads of households (NerdWallet)

For many taxpayers, these deduction increases reduce taxable income before rates are even applied.

Additionally, OBBBA introduced a new senior deduction lasting through 2028: taxpayers age 65 or older may be eligible for a $6,000 deduction ($12,000 if both spouses qualify), regardless of whether they itemize or take the standard deduction. (AARP)

3) Expanded Credits and Other Key Changes

The 2026 tax year also reflects broader changes that can impact refunds or tax liabilities:

Child Tax Credit: Indexed for inflation and slightly increased under the OBBBA for qualifying children. (IRS)

Itemized Deduction Changes: The bill significantly expanded the cap on state and local tax (SALT) deductions for many filers, although limits and phaseouts still apply.

Charitable Deductions: Non-itemizers can now deduct cash donations up to $1,000 (single) or $2,000 (joint) – a change that broadens tax benefits to more filers.

Preparation and Filing Notes: The IRS has updated forms, encouraged direct deposit for refunds, and provided resources and checklists for this filing season. (IRS)

Why This Matters for Your Planning

These tax changes are not just numbers on a chart – they affect when and how you plan income, retirement distributions, Social Security strategies, Roth conversions, and charitable giving.

Some actionable reminders for 2026 and beyond:

  • Review whether standard vs itemized deductions benefit you (especially with SALT changes).
  • Consider the timing of income that could push you into higher brackets.
  • Coordinate retirement distributions with Social Security claiming to manage taxable income.
  • Use expanded credits and deductions to your advantage throughout the year, not just at filing time.

Taxes are a major lifetime expense – often bigger than market returns or fees. Planning with the current tax code in mind helps you make decisions that support the life you want to live.

 

Finding Meaning In Retirement: When The Calendar Is Full But The Soul Isn’t

For many people, retirement planning starts with a number.

“How much do I need?”
“Will my money last?”
“Can I afford to stop working?”

Those questions matter. But after years of walking alongside retirees, we’ve learned something important: financial security alone does not guarantee fulfillment.

In fact, one of the most common challenges retirees face has very little to do with money. It’s the quieter, often unexpected loss of purpose, identity, and connection that can surface once work is no longer the organizing force of daily life.

The Transition No One Warns You About

Work does more than generate income. It provides structure, responsibility, and a sense of contribution. It answers questions we don’t always realize we’re asking:

Who needs me today?
What am I accountable for?
Where do I belong?

When work ends, freedom arrives – and for many, so does a subtle sense of disorientation.

Research supports this experience. Multiple studies show that retirement can lead to a measurable decline in a person’s sense of purpose if it isn’t replaced intentionally. This highlights the guidance we give to clients years in advance of retirement: make sure that you are retiring toward something and not just away from something.

One large review published in The Gerontologist highlights how meaning, not activity alone, plays a central role in how well individuals adjust to retirement. In other words, staying busy is not the same as feeling fulfilled.

Activity Is Not the Same as Meaning

We often meet retirees who are financially secure, healthy, and “doing all the right things” – traveling, golfing, volunteering, and staying active. Yet something still feels missing.

That’s because meaning tends to come from deeper sources.  These can include:

  • Contribution – being genuinely useful to others
  • Connection – relationships that go beyond surface-level social interaction…make note, fitting in is NOT the same thing as true authentic connection
  • Growth – continuing to learn, stretch, and engage with life

Psychology research consistently shows that retirees who maintain a strong sense of purpose experience better mental health, greater life satisfaction, and even improved physical outcomes.

Designing Retirement With Intention

The most fulfilling retirements we see are not accidental. They are designed with the same thoughtfulness people once applied to their careers.

That might look like:

  • Remaining involved in a part-time, advisory, or mentoring role
  • Sharing hard-earned wisdom with younger professionals or family members
  • Committing to a cause, board, or organization where presence truly matters
  • Creating weekly rhythm and responsibility, not just open time
  • Pursuing challenge and adventure, not just comfort

Research on “meaning-making” in retirement suggests that individuals who actively redefine who they are after work – rather than simply replacing work with leisure – experience a far healthier transition. The key question is not “How do I stay busy?”
It’s “Who do I want to be useful to in this season of life?”

Planning for a Meaningful Life, Not Just a Long One

Good financial planning creates margin. Great planning helps you use that margin well.

When we talk with clients about retirement, we often ask non-traditional questions:

  • What will give your days structure?
  • Who will you see regularly?
  • Where will you feel needed?
  • What are you still growing toward?

Organizations that focus on thriving in retirement, not just retiring, emphasize the same themes: purpose, connection, and intentional transition.  Money supports those answers – but it cannot replace them.

If retirement is approaching, or already here, it’s worth stepping back and asking not just “Can I retire?” but “What am I retiring to?”

That question matters more than the number if you truly want to continue to live your great life. In fact, retirement done well starts looking much more like exchanging one work purpose for a different kind of purpose. Retirement is not the Great Checkout if you want to thrive. So let’s all agree to stop using retirement as a goal to ‘be done,’ and start viewing it as financial freedom to pursue the things that make us feel most alive (Contribution, Connection, and Growth)! 

Q1 Letter to Clients

As we close the fourth quarter of 2025 and step into a new year, I want to take a moment to reflect – not just on markets and portfolios, but on the purpose behind the plan itself.

Quarterly statements naturally draw attention to short-term market movements. They are part of the story, but never the whole story. At Ridgeline, our work together has always been grounded in a longer view: helping thoughtful, capable people design financial lives that support not only security, but meaningful experiences along the way.

Many of you I would describe as Everyday Explorers – people who take responsibility seriously, but who also want to remain curious, engaged, and fully present in your lives. Financial planning, done well, should make room for both.

The Market Backdrop: Q4 2025

The final quarter of 2025 reminded investors of a familiar truth: markets are dynamic, unpredictable, and often uncomfortable in the short term.

U.S. equities experienced continued volatility as investors weighed inflation data, evolving Federal Reserve policy, geopolitical uncertainty, and questions around economic growth. Leadership rotated within the market, sentiment shifted quickly, and headlines offered no shortage of reasons to feel either optimistic or uneasy depending on the day.

This kind of environment can test confidence – especially if investing is viewed as a quarterly scorecard. But volatility is not an anomaly. It is a feature of markets, not a failure of them.  Uncertainty is not a flaw in the system – it is the system.  The real question is not whether volatility exists, but whether your plan is built to withstand it.

Why We Don’t Chase Returns or Predictions

One of the most important principles I want to reinforce – especially during uncertain periods – is that investment decisions should never be about chasing returns or predicting where markets will go next.

No one can consistently forecast short-term market outcomes. Acting as though we can often lead to unnecessary stress, poor timing decisions, and behavior that undermines long-term success.

Instead, our planning framework begins with a different foundation: ensuring that your future liabilities are matched or offset with safe, liquid resources.

When near-term spending needs, lifestyle costs, and known future obligations are covered by appropriate reserves and conservative assets, the long-term investment portfolio can do its job without interference. Growth assets are then free to compound over time, through inevitable cycles of optimism and uncertainty.

When this structure is in place, year-to-year market movements become background noise rather than a source of anxiety.

Planning With Intention – and With Life in Mind

One of the themes I continue to emphasize with clients is that planning should support living now, not just preparing for later.

For Everyday Explorers, that often means intentionally building room for travel, time away, outdoor pursuits, family experiences, and personal challenges that make life richer and more memorable. These experiences don’t happen accidentally. They require planning, margin, and clarity.

This is why our conversations extend beyond investments. Cash flow, liquidity, tax strategy, and risk management all play a role in creating the flexibility to say yes to meaningful experiences when the opportunity arises.

Tax and Planning Updates

As we move into 2026, several changes in the tax and legislative landscape are worth noting. Recent federal budget and benefits legislation is beginning to affect real-world planning decisions, including:

  • Adjustments to retirement contribution limits and age-based catch-up provisions
  • Ongoing evolution of required minimum distribution rules and inherited account timelines
  • Shifting income thresholds that affect deductions, credits, and phase-outs
  • The approaching sunset of certain prior tax provisions, increasing the importance of multi-year planning

None of these changes require reactive decisions. They do, however, reinforce the value of proactive coordination – aligning tax strategy, investment structure, and lifestyle goals well before deadlines appear.

Staying Grounded in What We Can Control

Market volatility tends to pull attention toward what we cannot control: headlines, forecasts, and short-term performance.

Your plan, however, is built around what is controllable:

  • Spending and savings decisions
  • Liquidity for known obligations
  • Asset allocation aligned with time horizons
  • Risk exposure that reflects your goals and temperament
  • A disciplined, long-term approach

When these elements are aligned, the plan does not rely on perfect market conditions to succeed. It relies on preparation, patience, and perspective.

Looking Ahead

As we enter the new year, my commitment to you remains unchanged. I will continue to approach planning through the lens of your life, not quarterly market noise. We will continue to design plans that prioritize resilience over prediction and flexibility over optimization.

Most importantly, we will continue to use money as it was intended to be used: as a tool that supports security, opportunity, and a life well lived along the way.

Thank you for your trust and partnership. I look forward to our upcoming conversations and to navigating the road ahead together.